Countries around the world have been introducing various fiscal measures to alleviate the economic distress caused by COVID-19. One measure—among many—has been to provide relief through temporary changes of Value-Added Taxes (VAT), such as delaying payments, speeding up refunds, or reducing rates.
However, the extent to which businesses and consumers will benefit from such relief measures will depend on the current structure of a country’s VAT, including VAT exemption thresholds, standard and reduced VAT rates, and the VAT base. Today’s post will take a closer look at European OECD countries’ VAT bases and how they impact recently proposed and implemented VAT changes.
One way to measure a country’s VAT base is the VAT revenue ratio. This ratio looks at the difference between the VAT revenue actually collected and collectable VAT revenue under a VAT that was applied at the standard rate on all final consumption. The difference in actual and potential VAT revenues is due to 1) policy choices to exempt certain goods and services from VAT or tax them at a reduced rate, and 2) lacking VAT compliance.
For example, a VAT revenue ratio of 1 would mean that a country levies its standard VAT rate on all final consumption and there is no VAT evasion or avoidance. In other words, it would be an indicator that there is no revenue loss as a consequence of exemptions and reduced rates, fraud, evasion, and tax planning.
In 2016 (most recent data available), Luxembourg’s VAT revenue ratio was the highest among European OECD countries, at 0.92. Estonia and Switzerland were second and third, at 0.73 and 0.68, respectively. Italy (0.38), Turkey (0.40), and Spain (0.43) had the lowest ratios.
The design of the VAT base plays a deciding factor in who will benefit from VAT relief. Businesses selling goods and services that are exempt from VAT will not benefit from relief such as delayed VAT payments, faster VAT refunds, or reduced VAT rates. For example, many countries exempt food and cultural and sporting services from VAT, sectors that have been hit particularly hard during this crisis. Small businesses that are below the VAT exemption threshold face a similar situation.
In addition, a broad VAT base and thus relatively heavy reliance on VAT revenue can help stabilize total tax revenues during an economic crisis. During the Great Recession, consumption tax revenue—VAT revenue accounts on average for two-thirds of consumption tax revenues in European OECD countries—remained relatively stable while revenue from other types of taxes—such as corporate and individual income taxes—decreased significantly. This crisis is different as the imposed economic shutdown will likely cause sharp declines in consumption and thus in VAT revenues. However, more reliance on VAT could help revenues recover more quickly once the economy reopens.
An overview of VAT relief and other fiscal measures that countries around the world have implemented during the coronavirus outbreak can be found here.
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